Islasan Marcos Gaming ผู้ค้าน้ำมันดิบกำลังเดิมพันครั้งใหญ่กับความคาดหวังการฟื้นตัวของราคา

ผู้ค้าน้ำมันดิบกำลังเดิมพันครั้งใหญ่กับความคาดหวังการฟื้นตัวของราคา

เมื่อราคาน้ำมันดิบฟื้นตัว กองทุนป้องกันความเสี่ยงก็แสดงความเชื่อมั่นในตัวพวกเขามากพอ แม้ว่าผู้ผลิตน้ำมันดิบทั่วโลกจะลดการผลิตลง แต่นักลงทุนกองทุนป้องกันความเสี่ยงกลับเดิมพันกับน้ำมันดิบเวสต์เท็กซัสอินเตอร์มีเดียตเพิ่มขึ้นอย่างมีนัยสำคัญ โดยถือเป็นระดับสูงสุดนับตั้งแต่เดือนมิถุนายน 2014

ในเดือนธันวาคม เมื่อประเทศนอกกลุ่มโอเปกและโอเปกตกลงที่จะลดการผลิต WTI ก็พุ่งขึ้นแตะระดับสูงสุดในรอบ 18 เดือน คูเวต แอลจีเรีย และซาอุดิอาระเบียลดการผลิตน้ำมันลงอย่างมาก ในทางกลับกัน รัสเซียกลับลดช่วงการผลิตลงเร็วกว่าที่คาดไว้

สถานะซื้อสุทธิเพิ่มขึ้น (ส่วนใหญ่มาจากกองทุนป้องกันความเสี่ยง) 14% WTI เพิ่มขึ้น 3.3% และปัจจุบันซื้อขายที่ 52.48 ดอลลาร์ต่อบาร์เรล นักลงทุนและผู้จัดการกองทุนต่างถือสถานะซื้อในตลาดน้ำมัน เนื่องจากพวกเขาคาดว่ากลุ่มโอเปกและกลุ่มที่ไม่ใช่โอเปกจะลดการผลิตน้ำมันดิบลงเพื่อให้ราคาน้ำมันสูงขึ้นต่อไป

ผู้ผลิตตัดอุปทาน – ผู้จัดการกองทุน ยูฟ่าเบท ระยะยาว

มีการถอนน้ำมันออกจากตลาดเกือบ 1.5 ล้านบาร์เรลภายในสองสัปดาห์แรกของวันที่ 17 มกราคมตามข้อตกลง ซึ่งมากกว่าที่คาดไว้ ผู้ผลิตน้ำมันส่วนใหญ่ได้ลดการผลิตลงอย่างมาก

สัญญาซื้อขายสุทธิของ WTI เพิ่มขึ้น 43,301 สัญญา และผู้บริหารเงินกำลังเข้าถือครองหุ้นน้ำมัน สัญญาซื้อขายระยะสั้นเพิ่มขึ้น 11% สัญญาซื้อขายระยะยาวเพิ่มขึ้น 14% สู่ระดับสูงสุดเป็นประวัติการณ์ที่ 406,723 สัญญา

เนื่องจากราคาฟิวเจอร์สเพิ่มขึ้น 3.5% สถานะขาขึ้นสุทธิจึงเพิ่มขึ้น 0.4% สำหรับน้ำมันเบนซินสู่ระดับสูงสุดเป็นประวัติการณ์นับตั้งแต่เดือนกรกฎาคม 2557 (63,678 สัญญา)

ผู้ผลิตป้องกันความเสี่ยงในตำแหน่งทางการตลาดเพื่อเบี่ยงเบนความเสี่ยง

บริษัทน้ำมันในสหรัฐฯ เข้าร่วมการขึ้นราคาเพื่อป้องกันความเสี่ยงในปีต่อๆ ไป ผู้ผลิตน้ำมันกำลังเล่นเกมด้วยความระมัดระวังและเปิดสถานะขายชอร์ตเพื่อปกป้องสินทรัพย์ของตนจากการลดลงของราคาน้ำมันดิบ สัญญาเปิดสถานะขายชอร์ตของผู้ผลิตน้ำมันเพิ่มขึ้นเป็น 6,77,479 สัญญา ซึ่งถือเป็นระดับสูงสุดนับตั้งแต่ปี 2550

ผู้ผลิตกำลังปกป้องกระแสเงินสดของตนด้วยการเข้าถือสถานะทางการตลาด ซึ่งสามารถปกป้องพวกเขาจากการตกราคาในอนาคตได้

ตามที่ฉันได้ชี้ให้เห็นในแนวโน้มการซื้อขายปี 2017 ว่าแนวโน้มราคาน้ำมันดิบกำลังเปลี่ยนไปในทางบวก ราคาก็จะเป็นเช่นเดียวกันหรือไม่ ถึงเวลาจับตาดูกราฟแล้ว!

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